UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · --
2026 SEASON · 16-1 RECORD

ONE FIGHT.
ONE PICK.
FULLY ANALYZED.

For every UFC card we break down the whole event and hand you a single selection, the fight our model gives the strongest probability of landing. No noise. No 12-leg parlays. Just the one pick worth your stake.

★★★★★
★★★★★
4.89 734 reviews
★★★★★
"Hit 4 from 4 on my first Monthly Pass. The analysis is genuinely detailed, I understood exactly why each pick was made."
TM
Tyler M.
Monthly Pass · Feb 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE
★★★★★
"The fact that they publish the loss too, that is what got me. Every other tipster hides the bad ones. These guys do not."
JK
James K.
Season Pass · Jan 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE
★★★★★
"One pick per card is exactly what I needed. No information overload, no 10-leg parlays. Just the one bet worth placing."
SR
Sam R.
Event Pick · Mar 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE
★★★★★
"Three months in on the Season Pass. Up 6 units already. The ROI is real and the reasoning makes me a better bettor overall."
AL
Adam L.
Season Pass · Jan 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE
★★★★★
"Email arrives well before fight night. Clear, professional, no fluff. Exactly what you would expect from a serious picks service."
MF
Marcus F.
Monthly Pass · Apr 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE
★★★★☆
"Lost one pick in 6 but the odds on the wins more than covered it. The unit tracking is a nice touch, keeps you honest."
DH
Dan H.
Monthly Pass · Mar 2026
VERIFIED PURCHASE

swipe to see more →

Every pick is logged publicly, including the loss. 18+ only. Betting carries risk.
94%
Hit rate
16-1
Won / Lost
1.61
Avg odds
+52%
ROI · +8.91u
// What you actually get

A pick built like a report, not a hot tip

Every selection comes with the full reasoning behind it, so you understand the bet instead of just placing it.

01

The selection

One fighter, one market: the single highest-confidence play on the card, with the minimum odds it is worth playing at.

02

The numbers

An honest win-probability estimate and a recommended stake in units, never hype or "bet big."

03

Full transparency

The reasoning behind every call, and each pick logged publicly the moment it is released, losses included.

// Verified · 2026 season to date

The track record. All of it.

17 picks released this season. 16 landed, 1 didn't, and the loss stays on the board, because a record you can trust is one that shows everything.

Running units · flat 1u stake+8.91u
94%
Hit rate
1.61
Avg odds
+52%
ROI

Why these numbers hold up

A 94% hit rate means nothing on its own. You can win 16 of 17 on heavy favorites and still lose money. The proof is the return: at a flat 1-unit stake across all 17 picks, the record is up +8.91 units (+52% ROI). The hit rate and the profit line up. 17 picks is still an early sample, and we report it as the season grows rather than as a guarantee.

Swipe right to see every pick →
#DateEventPickOddsResultRunning
// Two ways in

Choose your package

Try a single card, or lock in the next four and save over 40%.

Event Pick
One professionally analyzed pick for a single UFC card.
$24/ per event
Pay only for the card you want. No subscription.
  • Our single highest-confidence pick
  • Minimum odds and estimated win probability
  • Full reasoning behind the call
  • Recommended stake in units
  • Added to the public track record
Get the Event Pick
Monthly Pass
Picks for the next 4 UFC cards, starting the day you join.
$59/ 4 cards
$96  You save $37 vs buying each card
  • The next 4 UFC cards counted from purchase, never a partial month
  • Same full analysis on every pick
  • Minimum odds, win probability and units
  • Monthly results report with running units
  • Every pick logged publicly
Get the Monthly Pass
Best value · save 58%
Season Pass
Picks for the next 45 UFC cards, starting the day you join.
$449/ 45 cards
$1,080  You save $631 vs buying each card
  • The next 45 UFC cards counted from purchase, in order
  • Same full analysis on every pick
  • Minimum odds, win probability and units for each
  • Annual results report with running units
  • Every pick logged publicly
  • Under $10 per pick vs $24 individually
Get the Season Pass

// "4 cards" and "45 cards" = your next UFC events in order from the day you purchase, never tied to a calendar date.

// Straight answers

FAQ

How many picks do I get?
One per card. We analyze the entire UFC event and release a single selection, the one with the strongest probability of landing. Quality over volume.
What does "next 4 cards" and "next 45 cards" mean?
Your picks start from the day you purchase, counted in order. Monthly Pass gives you the next 4 UFC events, Season Pass gives you the next 45 — both from your join date, never tied to any calendar date or month. Whether you join mid-week or at the start of a month, you always receive the full count.
Do you guarantee winning bets?
No, and you should be skeptical of anyone who does. Betting carries real risk and outcomes are never certain. What we offer is disciplined analysis, an honest win-probability estimate, and a fully public record that includes losses.
How are picks delivered?
After purchase you receive the pick and full breakdown before the card: the selection, minimum odds, win probability, reasoning and recommended units. (Your fight analysis will be delivered directly to your email on the day of the event, giving you plenty of time to review the picks before the fights begin.)
Why units instead of cash amounts?
Units keep staking proportional to your own bankroll and keep the focus on disciplined betting rather than chasing a number. Bet only what you can afford to lose.

ONE PICK. DONE RIGHT.

Join on the next card and see the analysis behind a 16-1 season for yourself.

Choose your package →

© 2026 Fight Metrics Pro. Sports betting involves risk and you may lose money. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Nothing here is financial advice. Must be of legal betting age in your jurisdiction. Please bet responsibly. If gambling stops being fun, seek support.

18+
Blog